Geopolitics
U.S.-Iran $20B Deal: Frozen Assets, Not Cash, for Uranium Stockpile
Axios reports a three-page U.S.-Iran plan would release up to $20 billion in frozen Iranian assets abroad in exchange for Iran's enriched uranium stockpile.
Trump Thanks Iran for 'Strait of Iran' Reopening. There's No Such Place.
President Trump posted about Iran reopening the 'Strait of Iran' for commercial passage, but the waterway is actually called the Strait of Hormuz.
Navy Began Mine-Clearing Before Talks Failed: The Timeline That Doesn't Add Up
US destroyers started clearing mines from the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday while VP Vance was still negotiating with Iran in Pakistan, raising questions about whether the blockade was predetermined.
Iran Names New Supreme Leader as Gulf War Spreads to Six Nations
Mojtaba Khamenei becomes Iran's Supreme Leader as Tehran launches Operation True Promise 4, striking Israel and five Gulf states on day 9 of the conflict.
Day 12: Iran Widens War as Trump Claims 'Nothing Left to Target'
Iran expanded attacks to Saudi Arabia and Qatar while Trump claimed the war would end soon because there's 'practically nothing left to target' in Iran.
Lebanon Ceasefire Claim Unverified as Israel Denies Deal
A Hezbollah-affiliated outlet claimed a one-week Lebanon ceasefire would begin tonight, but Israel says no plan exists and the claim lacks official confirmation.
Iran Blockade Day One: What Ship Tracking Data Actually Shows
CENTCOM says no ships made it past its Iran blockade in the first 24 hours. Independent ship-tracking data partially supports the claim but shows at least four Iran-linked vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz, with only two confirmed reversing course.
Iran Demands $6 Billion as US-Iran Talks Enter Eighth Hour
Vice President Vance and Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf negotiate directly in Islamabad as US destroyers clear Iranian mines from Hormuz.
Trump Blasts Iran Over Strait of Hormuz 'Toll' as Peace Talks Begin
President Trump criticized Iran's handling of Strait of Hormuz reopening as US and Iranian officials began face-to-face ceasefire talks in Pakistan.
Iran Ceasefire Stalls as Strait of Hormuz Stays Closed
Iran demands preconditions for talks while shipping traffic remains frozen despite 6-day ceasefire
Israel Strikes 182 Targets in Lebanon Hours After Iran Ceasefire
Israel launched massive strikes across Lebanon killing at least 182 people just hours after a US-Iran ceasefire was announced, with Iran responding by closing the Strait of Hormuz again and threatening to abandon talks.
Trump Agrees to 2-Week Iran Ceasefire After Warning 'Civilization Will Die'
President Trump agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran on April 7, 2026, backing down from threats to destroy Iranian civilization and infrastructure after Pakistan brokered negotiations.
Five Paths to Global War in 2026
A data-driven ranking of escalation pathways based on the Doomsday Clock's 85-second warning, DNI threat assessments, and conflict tracking data showing 240,000 deaths in 2025 alone.
More Stories
Russia Is Teaching Iran How to Kill American Troops
Russia is providing Iran with specific drone attack tactics used in Ukraine and satellite intelligence on US force locations, according to multiple US officials, despite Pentagon claims it is 'not concerned.'
Day 13 Iran War Turns Diplomatic as Oil Market Chaos Spreads
On Day 13 of the Iran war, the UN Security Council passed Resolution 2817 condemning Iranian attacks with Russia and China abstaining rather than vetoing, Iran's President Pezeshkian outlined three formal ceasefire conditions for the first time, and Iranian drone boats attacked six vessels in Gulf waters, killing one crew member and forcing Iraq to shut all oil terminals.
Iran War Math: Why All Sides Lose
Brown University's Costs of War Project found that U.S. interventions since 2001 cost $8 trillion and achieved none of their stated objectives within planned timeframes, while RAND analysis shows military solutions consistently fail to deliver lasting security gains.
Day 13: Iran Controls Oil Routes as KC-135 Crash Kills Six
A US KC-135 refueling aircraft crashed in western Iraq on March 12, killing all six crew members and bringing US deaths to 13 in Operation Epic Fury, while Iran attacked six ships in the Gulf and oil hit $100.
Gulf States Die in a War They Did Not Start
Iran's Operation True Promise 4 dragged six Gulf nations into direct conflict, transforming a US-Israel operation into a regional war that could reshape Middle Eastern alliances forever.
Iran Offers Talks as Nuclear Sites Burn and Drones Hit Azerbaijan
Iranian intelligence reached out to the CIA with offers to discuss ending the conflict while Trump rejected any deals and Israeli strikes destroyed four nuclear facilities.
The Home Front Just Lost Its Commander: Noem Fired Mid-War
Trump fired DHS Secretary Kristi Noem during an active war with Iran, creating a 26-day leadership vacuum at the agency protecting America's homeland.
